BetIQ Daily: President’s Day Basketball Picks

BetIQ Daily is back with some Monday President's Day picks on Arizona State vs. UCLA and Marshall vs. Southern Miss.

February 21, 2022 - by Jason Lisk

We hope to ring the ATS victory bell tonight with Arizona State (Zachary BonDurant/Icon Sportswire)

BetIQ Daily is back to take another swing at some college basketball games. Just avoid us in the postgame handshake line if things don’t go well.

1) Marshall -5.5

  • NCAAB Spread Pick
  • at Southern Miss, Monday at 8:00 p.m. ET.
  • This is our top playable spread pick (57.0 percent), according to the Ensemble Forecast Model.
  • Southern Miss has lost 12 straight conference games after winning the opener, going 4-8 ATS over that span.
  • Southern Miss guard Jaron Pierre Jr. has missed the last two games, and there is no news on his availability tonight.
  • The Golden Eagles’ 19-point loss (as a two-point favorite) on Feb. 17 against Texas-San Antonio was the worst opponent-adjusted Game Score of year.
  • Marshall has had lots of lineup turnover, but the same lineup has now started four games straight; only longer stretch was seven games with one starting lineup to start season.
  • Marshall posted its worst Game Score of the year against Charlotte on Feb. 5 when leading scorer Taevion Kinsey was out, but he has been back for last four games.

2) Arizona State +14.5

  • NCAAB Spread Pick
  • at UCLA, Monday at 9:00 p.m. ET on FS1.
  • This is not a model play, but a pick on Arizona State based on its form with current lineup.
  • In last eight games with current starting five, Arizona State is 6-1-1 ATS and has covered five of the six games by more than 10 points, including a home win over UCLA.
  • The Sun Devils have been about 10 points better than the average Game Score in all other games over most recent stretch.

Top Pick Performance Trends

Our algorithmic models use over a decade of data to predict every game across five sports.

As of post time, here are some highlights of prediction performance from our primary Ensemble Forecast model this season for playable-rated picks (52.5% confidence or better) against game-day betting lines:

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