BetIQ Daily: Titans vs. Bengals and 49ers vs. Packers Picks for Divisional Round
Saturday picks for BetIQ feature divisional-round games between the Titans and Bengals and Packers and 49ers.
January 22, 2022 - by Jason Lisk
Derrick Henry is back for the Titans' playoff game against Cincinnati (Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire)
BetIQ Daily is ready for a very competitive weekend of NFL action in the divisional round, along with a full day of college basketball.
1) Tennessee -3.5
- NFL Spread Pick
- Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET on CBS
- Not a model recommendation of our Ensemble Forecast, but the Decision Tree model gives Tennessee a 58 percent chance of covering.
- Titans get star RB Derrick Henry back for this game after he missed last nine games.
- Tennessee averaged 28.4 points per game with Henry in lineup and 21.3 without him.
- Titans have only had Henry and starting WRs A.J. Brown and Julio Jones together for five games, so they’re undervalued considering all of them are playing today.
2) San Francisco/Green Bay Over 47.5
- NFL Over/Under Pick
- Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET on FOX
- Our Ensemble Forecast model gives this game a 56.5 percent chance of going over.
- Over last three seasons, our over/under model plays rated at 55 percent or higher are 32-24 (57.1%).
College Basketball Games to Watch
We have 11 playable spread picks and 17 over/under picks rated with cover odds of 55 percent or more today in college basketball.
Here are some notable matchups to watch today:
- Seton Hall (-2.5) at St. John’s, 12 p.m. ET on FS1
- Texas Tech (-8) vs. West Virginia, 12 p.m. ET on ESPN2
- Auburn (-4) vs. Kentucky, 1 p.m. ET on CBS
- Miami (-3) vs. Florida State, 2 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Baylor (-3.5) at Oklahoma, 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+
- Kansas (-7) at Kansas State, 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+
- Iowa State (-6.5) vs. TCU, 4 p.m. ET on ESPN2
- Tennessee (-5.5) vs. LSU, 6 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Arkansas (-8) vs. Texas A&M, 8:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network
- San Diego State (-4) vs. Boise State, 9:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network
Top Pick Performance Trends
Our algorithmic models use over a decade of data to predict every game across five sports.
As of post time, here are some highlights of prediction performance from our primary Ensemble Forecast model this season, for playable-rated picks (52.5% confidence or better) against game-day betting lines:
- NFL point spread picks: 48-36-2 (57%, +7.6 units)
- College football over/under picks: 180-146-3 (55%, +17.7 units)
- NBA spread picks: 14-10 (58%, +2.7 units)
- NBA moneyline picks: 85-75 (+9.8 units)