BetIQ Daily: NFL Week 14 Picks and Player Props
Picks for Sunday in NFL Week 14 include the Saints vs. Jets, Titans vs. Jaguars, and a Taysom Hill prop pick.
December 12, 2021 - by Jason Lisk
Taysom Hill will try to pass and run past the Jets (Lee Coleman/Icon Sportswire)
Sunday, December 12 (#16)
Here’s your BetIQ Daily for NFL Week 14 action.
This post highlights a sample of picks available to subscribers, which also include college basketball, NBA, and all of the upcoming bowl games. And if you are playing in any college football bowl pools, our College Bowl Pool Picks are back and ramping up with bowls starting Friday.
See all picks by subscribing or using our free one-year subscription offer from BetMGM.
3 Picks for Sunday
1) New Orleans -5.5 (at NY Jets) – NFL Spread Pick
- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
- The Saints are our highest-rated NFL spread pick today.
- New Orleans gets RB Alvin Kamara back today after a four-game absence during which the team went winless.
- Jets put both starting wide receivers (Corey Davis and Elijah Moore) on IR this week.
2) Jacksonville/Tennessee Under 43.5 – NFL Over/Under Pick
- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
- Our top playable over/under NFL pick for Week 14.
- Tennessee has averaged 19.25 points per game without RB Derrick Henry.
- Jacksonville has failed to score 20 points in any of its last six games and is averaging 10.7 points over that span.
3) Taysom Hill Over 196.5 Passing Yards – NFL Player Prop Pick
- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
- Our passing model has Hill projected for 221.3 passing yards, even with a heavier expected pass/run ratio.
- Hill’s passing-yards line has moved up seven yards since opening Friday.
- Hill has thrown for more than 230 yards in four of his five career starts, with only under coming against Denver last year when the Saints were favored by 17.
- Jets are 31st in net yards per passing attempt allowed (7.3).
- Alvin Kamara returns as a receiving back for Saints.
Top Pick Performance Trends
Our algorithmic models use over a decade of data to predict every game across five sports.
As of post time, here are some highlights of prediction performance from our primary Ensemble Forecast model this season, for playable-rated picks (52.5% confidence or better) against game-day betting lines:
- NFL point spread picks: 39-28-1 (58%, +7.5 units)
- College football over/under picks: 173-143-3 (55%, +14.3 units)
- NBA spread picks: 13-8 (62%, +3.8 units)
To view our model predictions and picks for all sports and all games, see our subscription page.
We also have a free one-year subscription offer from BetMGM available in select betting-legal U.S. states, though some restrictions apply.
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