NFL Week 3 Betting Picks, Upset Picks & Analysis (2024)

From game picks to teasers, touchdown props, and moneyline underdogs, our NFL Week 3 betting and upset picks article has you covered.

September 17, 2024 - by Jason Lisk

Welcome to our NFL Week 3 betting and upset picks article.

This article is available to premium subscribers (or free trial subscribers). We will post a new article every week and add content segments throughout the week.

When a new segment is published or updated, we will add it to the link list below.

Week 3 Betting & Upset Picks: Published Content

Tue: Teaser Tuesdays (Week 3)
Our favorite early teaser plays for NFL Week 3.

Mon: Early Picks to Consider
Some early betting lines that caught our interest.

Mon: Weekly Betting Recap
Key notes about the previous week and some interesting data.

Week 3 Betting & Upset Picks: Upcoming Content

Wed: NFL Week 3 Upset Picks
Our three favorite underdog moneyline picks.

Wed: Week 3 Injury News that Matters
Key situations that could lead to line movement.

Thu: Jets vs. Patriots Analysis
Thoughts on the Jets vs. Patriots rivalry game.

Thu: Campus Visit
A review of some of our top CFB model picks for the week.

Thu: Fading the Public, Week 3
A cross-over looking into our public pool pick data.

Fri: Chasing Touchdowns, Week 3
Our favorite TD props for Sunday’s games.

Fri: Sunday Supplements
Late-week adds to the picks as we look to Sunday.

Mon: MNF Doubleheader Analysis
Week 3 has two Monday matchups: Bills-Jags and Bengals-Commanders.

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Tue Sep 17

Teaser Tuesdays (Week 3)

If you are new to betting on Teasers, you can learn more about our approach in our NFL Betting: Key Numbers for NFL Teasers article. Week 2 teasers legs that we analyzed went 5-3 and the official teaser legs we offered went 2-2.  This week, we will target specific teams and break down our favorite teaser legs that are currently available based on the current lines for Week 3. 

As we move into week 3, we’ll continue to focus on games where teasing through key numbers (like 3 and 7) gives us the most value while using our models to find the sides in which we are most confident when adding to a two-team 6-point teaser. As a reminder, if you are paying more than -120 for a 6-point teaser, it is worth shopping around to find the sportsbooks that are still offering -120 on teasers. Paying more than -120 on a 6-point teaser can’t be justified. 

NFL Week 3 Teaser Considerations