Super Bowl MVP 2025 Odds: Can Travis Kelce Win?
Looking to bet on the 2025 Super Bowl MVP? We analyze the odds, voting patterns, and historical trends to find top betting values for the award.
January 31, 2025 - by Spencer Limbach

Will Patrick Mahomes win his 4th Super Bowl MVP? (Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)
The Super Bowl MVP 2025 odds have been set with the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles squaring off on Sunday, Feb. 9. Unsurprisingly, Patrick Mahomes is the betting favorite to take home the award, a feat he accomplished in the previous three Kansas City Super Bowl wins.
To help you make your Super Bowl MVP picks, we’ll cover the key information you need to know – such as: How often do quarterbacks win the award? Who votes on the MVP? Are wide receivers becoming more popular MVP picks? At what rate do defensive players take home the award?
We’ll run through all that and more, starting with the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Super Bowl MVP 2025 Odds
Here are the current Super Bowl MVP 2025 odds from FanDuel Sportsbook as of Wednesday, Jan. 29:
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Patrick Mahomes | +110 |
Saquon Barkley | +280 |
Jalen Hurts | +370 |
Travis Kelce | +1800 |
Xavier Worthy | +3000 |
A.J. Brown | +3200 |
DeVonta Smith | +5000 |
Kareem Hunt | +6000 |
Chris Jones | +6000 |
Marquise Brown | +6500 |
Jalen Carter | +7500 |
Zack Baun | +9000 |
Dallas Goedert | +10000 |
George Karlaftis | +10000 |
Isiah Pacheco | +12000 |
DeAndre Hopkins | +15000 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | +15000 |
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Super Bowl MVP Pick Analysis
After analyzing the complete odds board, here are the most notable betting opportunities and potential drawbacks to consider:
Patrick Mahomes (+110): Clear Favorite With Historical Edge
Betting Mahomes for MVP essentially offers better value than the Chiefs’ moneyline (-124), with strong historical support for this play:
- QBs have won 6 of the last 8 Super Bowl MVPs
- Mahomes is 3-for-3 in MVP voting in Chiefs’ Super Bowl victories
- Position dominance (QBs win 55.9% of MVPs historically)
- Not much MVP competition on Chiefs – Kelce has 2nd best odds at +1800
Travis Kelce (+1800): Intriguing Value Despite Historical Barriers
While no tight end has ever won Super Bowl MVP, Kelce presents interesting value at these odds:
- Chiefs’ clear second offensive option
- Significantly better odds than Mahomes for Chiefs’ victory scenario
- Strong narrative potential with Swift connection and fan voting impact
- Has had historically strong games in past Super Bowls
Fade Eagles’ Split Value (+280 Hurts, +370 Barkley)
The Eagles’ odds structure presents efficiency problems:
- Better value exists on Eagles moneyline (+106) than individual MVP bets
- Unclear hierarchy between Hurts and Barkley splits potential MVP equity
- RB drought since 1998 works against Barkley despite talent
- Multiple offensive weapons could divide voter attention
How Does Super Bowl MVP Voting Work?
The voting process for Super Bowl MVP is a crucial factor when trying to predict who will take the award. Here’s a detailed look at how the voting works:
- The NFL pre-selects 16 media members to vote for Super Bowl MVP. Those ballots account for 80% of the Super Bowl MVP vote.
- The other 20% comes from the fans, who are encouraged to vote online.
- Though early reports suggested votes needed to be in by the two-minute warning, the league has clarified that voters can wait until the game’s outcome is clear (or right after) before making their final selection.
This flexibility helps to make sure that crucial late-game performances aren’t overlooked in the voting process, which has proven important in several Super Bowls where MVP-worthy plays occurred in the final minutes. Case in point: Cooper Kupp in 2022 and Santonio Holmes in 2009.
Who Won Super Bowl MVP 2024?
Patrick Mahomes captured his third Super Bowl MVP award in 2024, further cementing his legacy among the NFL’s elite quarterbacks. The Chiefs’ signal-caller has remarkably won MVP honors in all three Kansas City championship victories (Super Bowls LIV, LVII, and LVIII in 2020, 2023, and 2024 respectively).
Mahomes’ dominance aligns with a clear historical pattern favoring quarterbacks in MVP voting (more on that in a moment). QBs have won 7 of the last 10 Super Bowl MVP awards, maintaining their position as the most likely winners by a significant margin.
Most Super Bowl MVP Awards (By Position)
There have been 59 Super Bowl MVPs (including co-MVPs in 1978), and a quarterback has won MVP in over half of those games. Here’s how the award has been distributed over the years:
Position | Times Won | Percentage |
---|---|---|
QB | 33 | 55.93% |
WR | 8 | 13.56% |
RB | 7 | 11.86% |
Defense | 10 | 16.95% |
KR | 1 | 1.69% |
The quarterback dominance has picked up even more in recent years, as the signal-caller from the winning team has taken home the award in six of the last eight games. Expanding on that, a QB has won MVP in 13 of the last 18 Super Bowls since 2007.
Picking A Defensive MVP Is Tricky
It’s interesting to note that a defensive player has won MVP at the second-highest rate, although the margin is slim ahead of wide receivers and running backs.
With that being said, picking the correct defensive player is incredibly difficult. You could argue that only one defensive MVP was somewhat predictable ahead of kickoff – and that was Ray Lewis for the dominant Baltimore defense.
Otherwise, safety Dexter Jackson won it on a team with several Hall-of-Famers on defense. Malcolm Smith wouldn’t be the first name from the Legion of Boom that comes to mind.
Wide Receivers Trending Up, Running Backs Down
Wide receivers have recently made more noise on the Super Bowl MVP front, winning five times since 2005. That makes sense, as the league has turned more pass-centric in the last two decades.
For comparison, a running back has not won the award since Terrell Davis in 1998, and only two defenders claimed MVP since 2005 – both were linebackers.
Has The Super Bowl MVP Ever Been On a Losing Team?
Only one player in Super Bowl history has won MVP honors while on the losing team – Cowboys linebacker Chuck Howley in Super Bowl 5 (1971). Despite Dallas falling to the Baltimore Colts 16-13, Howley – who had two interceptions and a fumble recovery – earned the award.
While it’s technically possible for a player from the losing team to win MVP, modern voting patterns make it highly improbable.
The media panel (that controls 80% of the vote) has all but established an unwritten rule that the award goes to the most impactful player on the winning team, even when a losing player posts better statistical numbers.
This voting approach reflects the view that true “value” in the Super Bowl is ultimately tied to victory, making Howley’s unique achievement likely to stand alone in NFL history.
Has a Kicker Ever Won Super Bowl MVP?
No kicker has ever won Super Bowl MVP, and the path to breaking this streak is extremely narrow. For a kicker to capture MVP honors, we’d need to see an unusual game where offensive futility meets historic kicking performance.
Even in a hypothetical scenario where a kicker goes 5-for-5 on field goals in a low-scoring 15-13 victory, they’d still face stiff competition for MVP votes. Defensive players – who have won the second-most Super Bowl MVPs (10 total) – would likely have standout performances in such a defensive struggle.
This inherent difficulty is reflected in Super Bowl MVP betting markets. For Super Bowl 2025, Harrison Butker of the Chiefs sits at +20000 (tied for 20th most likely), while Jake Elliott of the Eagles faces even longer odds at +25000 (tied for 25th).
The closest we’ve seen to a kicker-worthy MVP performance was arguably Adam Vinatieri’s game-winning kicks in Super Bowls 36 and 38, but even those clutch moments weren’t enough to overcome the contributions of quarterback Tom Brady in both games.
Super Bowl MVP Full List
Here’s the full list of every Super Bowl MVP, starting with the most recent:
Year | Super Bowl MVP | Position |
---|---|---|
2024 | Patrick Mahomes | QB |
2023 | Patrick Mahomes | QB |
2022 | Cooper Kupp | WR |
2021 | Tom Brady | QB |
2020 | Patrick Mahomes | QB |
2019 | Julian Edelman | WR |
2018 | Nick Foles | QB |
2017 | Tom Brady | QB |
2016 | Von Miller | LB |
2015 | Tom Brady | QB |
2014 | Malcolm Smith | LB |
2013 | Joe Flacco | QB |
2012 | Eli Manning | QB |
2011 | Aaron Rodgers | QB |
2010 | Drew Brees | QB |
2009 | Santonio Holmes | WR |
2008 | Eli Manning | QB |
2007 | Peyton Manning | QB |
2006 | Hines Ward | WR |
2005 | Deion Branch | WR |
2004 | Tom Brady | QB |
2003 | Dexter Jackson | S |
2002 | Tom Brady | QB |
2001 | Ray Lewis | LB |
2000 | Kurt Warner | QB |
1999 | John Elway | QB |
1998 | Terrell Davis | RB |
1997 | Desmond Howard | KR |
1996 | Larry Brown | CB |
1995 | Steve Young | QB |
1994 | Emmitt Smith | RB |
1993 | Troy Aikman | QB |
1992 | Mark Rypien | QB |
1991 | Ottis Anderson | RB |
1990 | Joe Montana | QB |
1989 | Jerry Rice | WR |
1988 | Doug Williams | QB |
1987 | Phil Simms | QB |
1986 | Richard Dent | DE |
1985 | Joe Montana | QB |
1984 | Marcus Allen | RB |
1983 | John Riggins | RB |
1982 | Joe Montana | QB |
1981 | Jim Plunkett | QB |
1980 | Terry Bradshaw | QB |
1979 | Terry Bradshaw | QB |
1978 | Harvey Martin | DE |
1978 | Randy White | DT |
1977 | Fred Biletnikoff | WR |
1976 | Lynn Swann | WR |
1975 | Franco Harris | RB |
1974 | Larry Csonka | RB |
1973 | Jake Scott | S |
1972 | Roger Staubach | QB |
1971 | Chuck Howley | LB |
1970 | Len Dawson | QB |
1969 | Joe Namath | QB |
1968 | Bart Starr | QB |
1967 | Bart Starr | QB |