NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU UCI
Points 72.1 78.4
Total Points   150.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 21.8
Points From Free Throws 17.3 15.4
Shooting LBSU UCI
Field Goals Made 25.0 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 61.6
Field Goal % 41.4% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 45.5 42.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.8 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 17.3 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 20.3
Free Throw % 71.5% 75.7%
Ball Control LBSU UCI
Rebounds 37.5 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.2
Turnovers 10.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.8
Steals 5.8 5.6
Fouls 15.4 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU UCI
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 73.6
% of Possessions with LBSU UCI
2 Point Attempt 52.2% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 22.4%
Player Fouled 24.3% 20.7%
Turnover 14.2% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU UCI
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 28.3%