NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU STAN
Points 74.0 81.9
Total Points   155.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 34.9
Points From Free Throws 12.8 13.2
Shooting LBSU STAN
Field Goals Made 27.5 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 65.5 59.7
Field Goal % 41.9% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 46.1 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 12.8 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 17.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.9%
Ball Control LBSU STAN
Rebounds 37.7 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 7.4
Turnovers 10.2 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.8
Steals 7.2 5.3
Fouls 15.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU STAN
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 70.6
% of Possessions with LBSU STAN
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 34.0%
Player Fouled 19.0% 19.9%
Turnover 13.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU STAN
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 21.9%