NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU STAN
Points 57.0 73.4
Total Points   130.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 25.2
Points From Free Throws 11.1 12.7
Shooting LBSU STAN
Field Goals Made 20.5 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 55.7
Field Goal % 39.7% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 11.1 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 17.8
Free Throw % 68.3% 71.4%
Ball Control LBSU STAN
Rebounds 31.9 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.8
Turnovers 17.5 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.3
Steals 5.1 7.8
Fouls 16.2 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU STAN
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.1 66.3
% of Possessions with LBSU STAN
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.5%
Turnover 24.4% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU STAN
Shot Blocked 6.1% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 24.3%