NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR UTEP
Points 68.4 62.5
Total Points   130.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 13.7
Points From Free Throws 19.5 14.2
Shooting CHAR UTEP
Field Goals Made 22.1 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 44.2 53.5
Field Goal % 50.1% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.4% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 19.5 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 20.8
Free Throw % 75.2% 68.0%
Ball Control CHAR UTEP
Rebounds 31.7 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 19.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 10.3
Turnovers 14.2 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.1
Steals 5.7 9.4
Fouls 15.4 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR UTEP
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 60.3 66.5
% of Possessions with CHAR UTEP
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 19.9%
Player Fouled 27.4% 22.8%
Turnover 21.0% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 13.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR UTEP
Shot Blocked 4.0% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 29.2%