NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR ODU
Points 73.2 64.0
Total Points   137.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 18.0
Points From Free Throws 19.9 9.8
Shooting CHAR ODU
Field Goals Made 22.9 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 60.4
Field Goal % 44.9% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 19.9 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 14.9
Free Throw % 75.2% 65.9%
Ball Control CHAR ODU
Rebounds 38.0 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.2
Turnovers 10.1 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.5
Steals 4.5 6.3
Fouls 12.3 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR ODU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 69.2
% of Possessions with CHAR ODU
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 25.8%
Player Fouled 25.0% 17.9%
Turnover 14.7% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR ODU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 23.8%