NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR FAU
Points 68.2 74.3
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 19.2
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.2
Shooting CHAR FAU
Field Goals Made 24.3 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 57.1
Field Goal % 43.4% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 20.9
Free Throw % 75.2% 72.6%
Ball Control CHAR FAU
Rebounds 31.2 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.0
Turnovers 9.2 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.4
Steals 4.3 5.9
Fouls 15.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR FAU
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 70.2
% of Possessions with CHAR FAU
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.6%
Turnover 13.6% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR FAU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 32.4%