NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR ARK
Points 69.6 72.6
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.1 14.8
Points From Free Throws 19.3 18.4
Shooting CHAR ARK
Field Goals Made 22.5 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 54.3
Field Goal % 42.2% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 19.3 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 24.1
Free Throw % 75.2% 76.5%
Ball Control CHAR ARK
Rebounds 32.2 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.3
Turnovers 9.4 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.6
Steals 4.6 5.5
Fouls 17.6 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR ARK
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 68.9
% of Possessions with CHAR ARK
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 20.8%
Player Fouled 25.5% 25.2%
Turnover 13.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR ARK
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 25.3%