NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR MRSH
Points 71.4 65.6
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 21.2
Points From Free Throws 16.0 10.8
Shooting CHAR MRSH
Field Goals Made 24.3 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 61.1
Field Goal % 44.6% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 15.1
Free Throw % 75.2% 71.7%
Ball Control CHAR MRSH
Rebounds 36.4 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.9
Turnovers 9.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.4
Steals 5.2 5.9
Fouls 12.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR MRSH
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 70.7
% of Possessions with CHAR MRSH
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 29.5%
Player Fouled 22.4% 18.1%
Turnover 13.7% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR MRSH
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 27.7%