NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU USC
Points 69.9 81.3
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 31.1
Points From Free Throws 15.8 14.5
Shooting LBSU USC
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 60.4
Field Goal % 38.5% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 15.8 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 20.8
Free Throw % 71.5% 69.5%
Ball Control LBSU USC
Rebounds 38.8 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 9.8
Turnovers 12.1 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.8
Steals 6.8 7.3
Fouls 15.4 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU USC
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.9 73.1
% of Possessions with LBSU USC
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 29.7%
Player Fouled 21.5% 20.6%
Turnover 16.1% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU USC
Shot Blocked 8.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 27.5%