NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAR DAV
Points 65.1 65.9
Total Points   131.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 18.2
Points From Free Throws 15.8 12.8
Shooting CHAR DAV
Field Goals Made 21.7 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 50.9 55.0
Field Goal % 42.6% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 17.4
Free Throw % 75.2% 73.6%
Ball Control CHAR DAV
Rebounds 32.5 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.9
Turnovers 9.4 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.2
Steals 4.9 5.6
Fouls 14.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAR DAV
Total Possessions 65.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.4 65.5
% of Possessions with CHAR DAV
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 27.9%
Player Fouled 23.4% 22.0%
Turnover 14.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAR DAV
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 26.2%