NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD USU
Points 65.9 74.9
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 16.2
Points From Free Throws 14.3 18.6
Shooting UCD USU
Field Goals Made 22.9 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 52.6
Field Goal % 40.8% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 14.3 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 25.6
Free Throw % 76.1% 72.5%
Ball Control UCD USU
Rebounds 30.9 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 8.6
Turnovers 12.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.7
Steals 6.7 6.9
Fouls 18.8 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Utah St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD USU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 68.5
% of Possessions with UCD USU
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 21.0%
Player Fouled 21.9% 26.3%
Turnover 16.8% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD USU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 27.3%