NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD LBSU
Points 72.3 70.6
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 13.5
Points From Free Throws 15.4 17.8
Shooting UCD LBSU
Field Goals Made 24.0 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 57.3
Field Goal % 42.2% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 15.4 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 24.9
Free Throw % 76.1% 71.5%
Ball Control UCD LBSU
Rebounds 33.5 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.5
Turnovers 12.9 12.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.9
Steals 7.2 7.5
Fouls 18.6 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD LBSU
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 73.3
% of Possessions with UCD LBSU
2 Point Attempt 38.0% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 17.7%
Player Fouled 21.7% 25.4%
Turnover 17.6% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD LBSU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 33.7%