NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCAT NCCU
Points 67.4 74.9
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 20.8
Points From Free Throws 16.5 14.6
Shooting NCAT NCCU
Field Goals Made 22.7 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 58.0
Field Goal % 40.3% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 25.5% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 16.5 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 21.1
Free Throw % 70.8% 69.0%
Ball Control NCAT NCCU
Rebounds 33.8 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 11.0
Turnovers 8.2 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.1
Steals 4.0 4.5
Fouls 13.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: NC A&T

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCAT NCCU
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 71.0
% of Possessions with NCAT NCCU
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 24.5%
Player Fouled 23.4% 20.1%
Turnover 11.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCAT NCCU
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 31.5%