NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAM TEX
Points 74.0 78.7
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 24.9
Points From Free Throws 18.0 13.1
Shooting TAM TEX
Field Goals Made 24.8 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 58.3
Field Goal % 39.1% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 18.0 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 17.0
Free Throw % 71.3% 76.5%
Ball Control TAM TEX
Rebounds 39.6 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 16.0 8.1
Turnovers 7.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.9
Steals 5.8 4.0
Fouls 14.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAM TEX
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 78.4 68.4
% of Possessions with TAM TEX
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 30.2%
Player Fouled 23.5% 20.9%
Turnover 11.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAM TEX
Shot Blocked 8.6% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 38.0% 25.5%