NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAM TEX
Points 83.6 85.1
Total Points   168.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 23.8
Points From Free Throws 20.5 20.6
Shooting TAM TEX
Field Goals Made 26.9 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 58.7
Field Goal % 45.9% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 20.5 20.6
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 27.0
Free Throw % 75.3% 76.3%
Ball Control TAM TEX
Rebounds 30.8 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.9
Turnovers 8.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.6
Steals 6.6 5.4
Fouls 20.3 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Texas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAM TEX
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 75.6
% of Possessions with TAM TEX
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 27.3%
Player Fouled 24.1% 27.1%
Turnover 11.6% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAM TEX
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 35.0%