NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD CSN
Points 71.1 67.2
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 12.5
Points From Free Throws 19.0 15.9
Shooting UCD CSN
Field Goals Made 22.2 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 54.6
Field Goal % 40.8% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 4.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 14.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 19.0 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 23.5
Free Throw % 76.1% 67.7%
Ball Control UCD CSN
Rebounds 33.8 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.4
Turnovers 13.0 14.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.9
Steals 8.7 7.2
Fouls 18.4 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: UC Davis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD CSN
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 69.5
% of Possessions with UCD CSN
2 Point Attempt 35.4% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 16.3%
Player Fouled 27.2% 24.9%
Turnover 17.5% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 11.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD CSN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 29.6%