NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD MILW
Points 76.6 71.9
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 18.0
Points From Free Throws 17.6 17.6
Shooting UCD MILW
Field Goals Made 25.9 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 57.5
Field Goal % 44.1% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 17.6 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 24.0
Free Throw % 76.1% 73.5%
Ball Control UCD MILW
Rebounds 34.8 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.5
Turnovers 10.9 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.7
Steals 7.1 5.5
Fouls 17.4 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: UC Davis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD MILW
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 72.5
% of Possessions with UCD MILW
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 23.1%
Player Fouled 23.9% 23.8%
Turnover 14.9% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD MILW
Shot Blocked 6.6% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 34.3%