NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCAT ECU
Points 61.6 76.0
Total Points   137.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 21.1
Points From Free Throws 13.3 13.3
Shooting NCAT ECU
Field Goals Made 21.2 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 59.7
Field Goal % 38.2% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 26.9% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 19.4
Free Throw % 70.8% 68.6%
Ball Control NCAT ECU
Rebounds 31.3 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.5
Turnovers 9.4 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.3
Steals 4.4 6.0
Fouls 12.6 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCAT ECU
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 71.8
% of Possessions with NCAT ECU
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.4% 18.6%
Turnover 13.9% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCAT ECU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 35.5%