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Texas A&M at Arkansas
Sat Mar 6, 2021
5:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
Texas A&M at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 14.5, Total Points: 136.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TAM | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-18-0 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-12-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-10-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 13-8-0 | 5-11-0 |
Texas A&M Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -21.5 | W by 32 | +10.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Ohio St | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | S Methodist | -5.5 | W by 13 | +7.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Oral Roberts | -20.0 | W by 8 | -12.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Penn St | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Iowa St | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Virginia | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | DePaul | -19.5 | W by 25 | +5.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Memphis | -8.0 | L by 6 | -14.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Houston | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Hsn Christian | -34.0 | W by 27 | -7.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Prairie View | -28.0 | W by 25 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | LSU | -11.5 | L by 15 | -26.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Kentucky | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Arkansas | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | LSU | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Missouri | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Mississippi | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Alabama | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Arkansas | -11.5 | L by 7 | -18.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Tennessee | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Georgia | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Miss State | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | W by 26 | +27.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Mississippi | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Kentucky | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Florida | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Nebraska | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Houston | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -14.5 | Open | -15.0 | High | -15.5 |
| Last | -15.0 | Low | -14.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1078 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14 to 16 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 1009 times (93.6%).
- The team like Texas A&M won the game 69 times (6.4%).
- The team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 527-524-27 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 496 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 257-236-3 (52.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -14.5 | -14.5 |
| Open | -15.5 | -15.0 | -15.5 |
| History | |||
| 03/06 04:59 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 04:55 PM | -- | -- | -14.5 |
| 03/06 04:54 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 03/06 04:50 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 04:44 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 03/06 03:54 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 03/06 03:38 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 03:14 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 03/06 03:05 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 02:50 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 01:34 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 03/06 01:26 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 12:44 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 03/06 11:47 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 11:34 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 03/06 11:21 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -15.0 |
| 03/06 10:04 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 03/06 09:50 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 09:34 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 03/06 09:18 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 09:04 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 03/06 08:08 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 02:05 AM | -- | -- | -15.0 |
| 03/06 02:02 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -15.5 |
| 03/05 08:26 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
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