NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAM MISS
Points 80.7 77.8
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 27.1
Points From Free Throws 19.0 14.1
Shooting TAM MISS
Field Goals Made 27.0 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 67.8 58.2
Field Goal % 39.9% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 19.0 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 19.3
Free Throw % 71.3% 73.0%
Ball Control TAM MISS
Rebounds 45.4 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 20.6 8.9
Turnovers 7.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 6.2
Steals 6.0 4.4
Fouls 15.3 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAM MISS
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 83.7 69.9
% of Possessions with TAM MISS
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 30.9%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.6%
Turnover 10.9% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAM MISS
Shot Blocked 10.9% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 46.4% 26.3%