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UC Davis at Arkansas St
Fri Nov 15, 2019
8:30pm ET
Jonesboro, AR
UC Davis at Arkansas St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas St. by 4, Total Points: 131
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCD | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-15-0 | 23-13-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-0 | 13-7-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 10-3-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-0 | 13-10-1 |
UC Davis Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | William Jessup | -4.5 | W by 35 | +30.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Pepperdine | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Montana | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | N Dakota St | -4.5 | W by 15 | +10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Sac State | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Oregon St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Nevada | +14.0 | L by 12 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | WI-Milwkee | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Pacific | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Montana | -1.5 | L by 12 | -13.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | UC Merced | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 12/28 | Home | UCSB | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Cal Poly | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | UC Riverside | +2.5 | W by 20 | +22.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | UC Irvine | +9.0 | L by 3 | +6.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Cal St Nrdge | -5.0 | W by 20 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | CS Fullerton | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | UC Irvine | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCSD | -3.5 | L by 33 | -36.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | UCSB | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Cal Poly | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | CS Fullerton | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Hawaii | +2.0 | L by 17 | -15.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Lg Beach St | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Cal St Nrdge | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | CS Bakersfld | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Hawaii | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | UCSD | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Lg Beach St | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Hawaii | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | -1.5 | L by 4 | -5.5 |
Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Wisconsin | +14.0 | L by 29 | -15.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Bowling Grn | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Alcorn St | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Iowa | +20.5 | L by 14 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | San Diego | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | TX-Pan Am | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Jackson St | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Alabama | +25.5 | L by 24 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | UAB | +4.5 | W by 19 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Louisville | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Belmont | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Georgia St | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | GA Southern | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Old Dominion | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Texas St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Louisiana | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | S Mississippi | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas St | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Louisiana | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | UL Monroe | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | S Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | UL Monroe | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | James Mad | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ohio | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Troy | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Alabama | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Troy | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Alabama | -8.0 | W by 17 | +9.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Coastal Car | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | App State | +7.5 | L by 23 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Louisiana | -3.0 | W by 27 | +24.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | App State | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Beth-Cook | -13.0 | W by 1 | -12.0 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Montana | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | High Point | +2.0 | L by 1 | +1.0 |
| ARST -4.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2611 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas St. won the game 1680 times (64.3%).
- The team like UC Davis won the game 931 times (35.7%).
- The team like Arkansas St. did better against the spread, going 1303-1246-62 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3693 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like UC Davis did better against the spread, going 1819-1800-74 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -5.5 | -4.5 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/15 07:09 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 04:35 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 03:57 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 11:59 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 11/15 11:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/15 10:20 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 10:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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