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N Mex State at Tarleton St
Sat Feb 27, 2021
8:00pm ET
Stephenville, TX
N Mex State at Tarleton St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Mexico St. by 9, Total Points: 128.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | TST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-16-1 | 20-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-11-1 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-7-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-4-1 | 8-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-12-0 | 12-6-0 |
N Mex State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Kentucky | +15.0 | L by 40 | -25.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Sul Ross St. | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | UC Irvine | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Western New Mexico | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 11/18 | Home | N Colorado | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Fresno St | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 27 | -23.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Louisville | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | University of the Southwest | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 12/02 | Away | New Mexico | +17.5 | L by 44 | -26.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Northern New Mexico | -- | W by 5 | -- |
| 12/15 | Home | New Mexico | +14.5 | L by 1 | +13.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Ste F Austin | +11.0 | L by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Tulsa | +7.0 | L by 6 | +1.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Cal Baptist | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | TX El Paso | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Florida Intl | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | W Kentucky | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | LA Tech | +11.0 | L by 20 | -9.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Liberty | +5.0 | W by 6 | +11.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Jksnville St | -2.0 | W by 2 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | TX El Paso | +5.5 | L by 25 | -19.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Middle Tenn | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Kentucky | +9.5 | L by 14 | -4.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Sam Hous St | +1.5 | L by 21 | -19.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | LA Tech | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Liberty | +14.5 | L by 25 | -10.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Jksnville St | +8.5 | W by 2 | +10.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Florida Intl | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 20 | -13.5 |
Tarleton St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Virginia | +17.0 | L by 30 | -13.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Florida Intl | +4.5 | W by 17 | +21.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | North Texas-Dallas | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/14 | Away | Bradley | +10.0 | L by 23 | -13.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Austin Peay | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | CS Bakersfld | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Ste F Austin | +9.5 | W by 2 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | TX-Pan Am | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Hardin-Simmons | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 12/12 | Home | Sterling | -- | W by 38 | -- |
| 12/18 | Home | Jksnville St | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Tennessee | +22.5 | L by 19 | +3.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Loyola Mymt | +7.0 | W by 13 | +20.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | TX-Arlington | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Cal Baptist | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Grd Canyon | +13.0 | L by 26 | -13.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Abl Christian | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX-Pan Am | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | S Utah | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Utah Tech | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Abl Christian | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Ste F Austin | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Utah Valley | +3.5 | W by 11 | +14.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Seattle | +8.0 | W by 5 | +13.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | TX-Arlington | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Grd Canyon | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Cal Baptist | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Utah Tech | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Utah | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Utah Valley | -7.0 | L by 3 | -10.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Seattle | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | TX-Arlington | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | TX Southern | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Abl Christian | -6.5 | W by 27 | +20.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | IPFW | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| NMSU -9.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 691 games where the closing line favored the away team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like New Mexico St. won the game 544 times (78.7%).
- The team like Tarleton State won the game 147 times (21.3%).
- The team like New Mexico St. did better against the spread, going 346-332-13 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 156 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Tarleton State did better against the spread, going 79-77 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.0 | -9.0 | -9.0 |
| Open | -9.0 | -9.0 | -9.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/27 07:53 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:23 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 06:44 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:05 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 04:20 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 02:05 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:57 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 02/27 10:53 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 02/27 09:11 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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