NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAM MIZZ
Points 83.3 73.0
Total Points   156.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 25.0
Points From Free Throws 23.9 14.2
Shooting TAM MIZZ
Field Goals Made 25.6 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 56.3
Field Goal % 40.6% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 23.9 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 33.5 17.9
Free Throw % 71.3% 78.9%
Ball Control TAM MIZZ
Rebounds 46.4 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 20.9 7.5
Turnovers 7.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.3
Steals 6.3 4.3
Fouls 16.0 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +1.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAM MIZZ
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 83.5 67.1
% of Possessions with TAM MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 37.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 33.8%
Player Fouled 27.1% 22.6%
Turnover 11.3% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAM MIZZ
Shot Blocked 9.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 49.1% 22.8%