NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAM LSU
Points 80.1 77.6
Total Points   157.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 28.0
Points From Free Throws 18.8 14.9
Shooting TAM LSU
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 65.4 56.8
Field Goal % 41.0% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 18.8 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 20.3
Free Throw % 71.3% 73.3%
Ball Control TAM LSU
Rebounds 41.4 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 17.0 8.5
Turnovers 7.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.2
Steals 7.8 4.5
Fouls 15.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAM LSU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 81.4 68.9
% of Possessions with TAM LSU
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 31.3%
Player Fouled 22.3% 20.8%
Turnover 10.9% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAM LSU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 39.9% 25.9%