NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NMSU UTECH
Points 69.4 71.6
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 22.3
Points From Free Throws 16.0 18.8
Shooting NMSU UTECH
Field Goals Made 23.5 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 52.3
Field Goal % 41.0% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 16.0 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 29.7
Free Throw % 65.5% 63.3%
Ball Control NMSU UTECH
Rebounds 36.6 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.9
Turnovers 10.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.1
Steals 6.7 6.0
Fouls 20.4 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Mex State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NMSU UTECH
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 70.6
% of Possessions with NMSU UTECH
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 23.5% 28.1%
Turnover 14.8% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NMSU UTECH
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 27.4%