NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD UCSD
Points 71.7 70.3
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 21.6
Points From Free Throws 13.6 14.8
Shooting UCD UCSD
Field Goals Made 25.5 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 55.9
Field Goal % 46.9% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.6 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 20.0
Free Throw % 76.1% 74.1%
Ball Control UCD UCSD
Rebounds 32.5 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 9.3
Turnovers 11.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.3
Steals 5.3 6.1
Fouls 16.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: UCSD

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD UCSD
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 67.9
% of Possessions with UCD UCSD
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 27.4%
Player Fouled 22.7% 24.1%
Turnover 16.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD UCSD
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 26.9%