NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCD IDHO
Points 71.4 59.6
Total Points   131.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 28.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 19.8
Points From Free Throws 17.4 11.2
Shooting UCD IDHO
Field Goals Made 24.0 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 51.9
Field Goal % 46.9% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 17.4 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 15.1
Free Throw % 76.1% 74.3%
Ball Control UCD IDHO
Rebounds 34.2 28.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 6.7
Turnovers 10.9 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.7
Steals 7.9 5.3
Fouls 14.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: UC Davis

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCD IDHO
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 61.0
% of Possessions with UCD IDHO
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 27.5%
Player Fouled 25.7% 21.8%
Turnover 16.0% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 11.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCD IDHO
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 20.4%