NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAM TENN
Points 69.3 80.5
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 30.8
Points From Free Throws 18.4 15.3
Shooting TAM TENN
Field Goals Made 21.7 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 64.3 60.5
Field Goal % 33.8% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 38.1% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 18.4 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 20.3
Free Throw % 71.3% 75.5%
Ball Control TAM TENN
Rebounds 41.6 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 16.6 10.8
Turnovers 8.5 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.6
Steals 5.9 4.7
Fouls 16.1 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAM TENN
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 79.7 73.1
% of Possessions with TAM TENN
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 36.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 36.6%
Player Fouled 22.6% 22.5%
Turnover 11.9% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAM TENN
Shot Blocked 9.3% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 36.0% 30.2%