NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USU NEV
Points 70.6 71.1
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 17.9
Points From Free Throws 17.5 16.9
Shooting USU NEV
Field Goals Made 23.6 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 53.9
Field Goal % 44.3% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 17.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 23.7
Free Throw % 72.5% 71.2%
Ball Control USU NEV
Rebounds 34.1 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.7
Turnovers 9.8 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.2
Steals 4.9 5.6
Fouls 18.8 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Nevada

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USU NEV
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 68.1
% of Possessions with USU NEV
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 23.1%
Player Fouled 25.5% 27.0%
Turnover 14.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken USU NEV
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 23.0%