NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCI LBSU
Points 78.4 72.1
Total Points   150.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 14.6
Points From Free Throws 15.4 17.3
Shooting UCI LBSU
Field Goals Made 27.9 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 60.3
Field Goal % 45.2% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 42.2 45.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 14.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 15.4 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 24.1
Free Throw % 75.7% 71.5%
Ball Control UCI LBSU
Rebounds 37.8 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.6
Turnovers 11.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.6
Steals 5.6 5.8
Fouls 18.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCI LBSU
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 75.4
% of Possessions with UCI LBSU
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 52.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 17.0%
Player Fouled 20.7% 24.3%
Turnover 14.7% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCI LBSU
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 29.6%