NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCI CP
Points 78.4 60.7
Total Points   139.1
Points From 2-Pointers 46.3 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 13.2 17.1
Points From Free Throws 18.9 13.0
Shooting UCI CP
Field Goals Made 27.5 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 55.0
Field Goal % 48.2% 38.3%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 39.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 12.7 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 18.9 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 18.3
Free Throw % 75.7% 70.9%
Ball Control UCI CP
Rebounds 41.3 28.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 7.4
Turnovers 10.0 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.7
Steals 5.9 4.2
Fouls 16.4 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: UC Irvine

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCI CP
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 66.0
% of Possessions with UCI CP
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 15.1% 20.6%
Player Fouled 24.5% 23.3%
Turnover 14.2% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCI CP
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 36.7% 20.2%