NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC SHSU
Points 76.7 64.8
Total Points   141.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 18.6
Points From Free Throws 21.9 15.1
Shooting GRC SHSU
Field Goals Made 23.9 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 59.0
Field Goal % 45.9% 36.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 38.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 21.9 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 28.9 20.9
Free Throw % 76.0% 72.3%
Ball Control GRC SHSU
Rebounds 38.0 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 12.0
Turnovers 11.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.3 1.8
Steals 6.6 5.5
Fouls 16.4 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Hous St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC SHSU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 71.7
% of Possessions with GRC SHSU
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 21.9%
Player Fouled 26.7% 22.8%
Turnover 16.0% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC SHSU
Shot Blocked 3.1% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 30.0%