NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC KC
Points 74.5 60.5
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 25.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 21.5
Points From Free Throws 26.2 13.6
Shooting GRC KC
Field Goals Made 21.4 19.9
Field Goals Attempted 48.1 57.0
Field Goal % 44.5% 34.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 12.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 38.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 26.2 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 34.5 18.9
Free Throw % 76.0% 72.1%
Ball Control GRC KC
Rebounds 37.7 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.9
Turnovers 11.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.2
Steals 7.4 4.9
Fouls 16.0 21.5

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC KC
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.0
% of Possessions with GRC KC
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 28.2%
Player Fouled 30.2% 22.4%
Turnover 15.8% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC KC
Shot Blocked 5.7% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 27.5%