NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC LMU
Points 76.7 64.7
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 21.0
Points From Free Throws 18.5 12.4
Shooting GRC LMU
Field Goals Made 25.8 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 58.6
Field Goal % 44.7% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 18.5 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 16.8
Free Throw % 76.0% 73.7%
Ball Control GRC LMU
Rebounds 38.0 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.7
Turnovers 7.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.7 2.6
Steals 6.2 2.8
Fouls 13.9 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC LMU
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 68.3
% of Possessions with GRC LMU
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 25.3%
Player Fouled 23.9% 20.2%
Turnover 10.3% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 4.1% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC LMU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 10.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 28.4%