NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC SFA
Points 76.7 63.2
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 16.0
Points From Free Throws 25.3 17.8
Shooting GRC SFA
Field Goals Made 22.2 20.0
Field Goals Attempted 48.6 54.1
Field Goal % 45.7% 37.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.5 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 39.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 25.3 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 33.2 25.3
Free Throw % 76.0% 70.3%
Ball Control GRC SFA
Rebounds 37.0 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.6
Turnovers 14.7 15.4
Blocked Shots 5.2 2.4
Steals 8.3 7.0
Fouls 18.8 21.2

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC SFA
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 70.0
% of Possessions with GRC SFA
2 Point Attempt 34.5% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 19.2%
Player Fouled 28.7% 25.5%
Turnover 20.0% 20.9%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC SFA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 10.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 30.6%