NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC UNT
Points 70.1 64.6
Total Points   134.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 21.2
Points From Free Throws 20.3 14.1
Shooting GRC UNT
Field Goals Made 21.6 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 50.9 56.8
Field Goal % 42.5% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 39.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 20.3 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 18.8
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.1%
Ball Control GRC UNT
Rebounds 37.4 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.1
Turnovers 11.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 2.9
Steals 6.9 6.1
Fouls 14.3 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC UNT
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 68.0
% of Possessions with GRC UNT
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 24.3%
Player Fouled 25.2% 21.0%
Turnover 17.0% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC UNT
Shot Blocked 5.3% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.6% 29.9%