NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC SEA
Points 73.5 65.8
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 20.4
Points From Free Throws 20.2 15.0
Shooting GRC SEA
Field Goals Made 23.7 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 57.8
Field Goal % 43.1% 38.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 41.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 20.2 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 26.6 20.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 74.7%
Ball Control GRC SEA
Rebounds 38.2 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.4
Turnovers 10.7 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.3
Steals 6.9 4.8
Fouls 16.1 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC SEA
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 70.0
% of Possessions with GRC SEA
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 24.7%
Player Fouled 25.7% 22.4%
Turnover 14.9% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC SEA
Shot Blocked 4.1% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 27.3%