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San Diego St at Michigan
Sat Dec 4, 2021
1:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
San Diego St at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 9, Total Points: 126
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SDSU | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-21-0 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-12-0 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 8-5-0 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 6-16-0 | 3-14-0 |
San Diego St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | CS Fullerton | -14.5 | W by 26 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | BYU | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Lg Beach St | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Marys | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Washington | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | California | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Point Loma | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 12/01 | Away | UCSD | -13.5 | W by 1 | -12.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Grd Canyon | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | UC Irvine | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | St. Katherine | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | Stanford | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Gonzaga | +6.5 | W by 10 | +16.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Fresno St | -15.5 | W by 27 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | UNLV | -8.5 | W by 11 | +2.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | San Jose St | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | New Mexico | +3.5 | L by 18 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Nevada | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boise St | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Wyoming | -17.0 | W by 16 | -1.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Utah St | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Air Force | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 02/09 | Away | Nevada | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Colorado St | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 02/16 | Home | New Mexico | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Utah St | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Fresno St | -12.5 | W by 32 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Jose St | -21.5 | W by 8 | -13.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | UNLV | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Boise St | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 03/14 | Away | UNLV | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Utah St | -5.0 | W by 16 | +11.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | New Mexico | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | UAB | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Yale | -5.5 | W by 28 | +22.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Connecticut | +12.0 | L by 30 | -18.0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| MICH -9.0 | Open | -7.5 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2174 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 1760 times (81.0%).
- The team like San Diego St. won the game 414 times (19.0%).
- The team like San Diego St. did better against the spread, going 1062-1061-51 (50.0% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1615 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 846-743-26 (53.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.0 | -8.5 | -9.0 |
| Open | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/04 12:40 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 12/04 12:11 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 12/04 11:58 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:17 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:14 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/04 10:59 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 12/04 10:14 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 12/04 10:11 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:58 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:54 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 12/04 09:04 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 12/04 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 12/04 08:31 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:17 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 07:34 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/03 11:46 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 11:35 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 12/03 11:04 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/03 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 12/03 10:25 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/03 10:07 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 06:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/03 05:49 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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