NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS OSU
Points 72.5 72.6
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 19.2
Points From Free Throws 14.1 14.2
Shooting WIS OSU
Field Goals Made 25.8 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 54.1
Field Goal % 43.1% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 14.1 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 18.9
Free Throw % 75.1% 75.2%
Ball Control WIS OSU
Rebounds 34.2 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 6.9
Turnovers 8.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.6 4.6
Steals 5.0 4.0
Fouls 16.0 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS OSU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 65.8
% of Possessions with WIS OSU
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 22.9%
Player Fouled 23.6% 23.3%
Turnover 12.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS OSU
Shot Blocked 8.5% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 22.3%