NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS NEB
Points 76.6 76.4
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 26.7
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.8
Shooting WIS NEB
Field Goals Made 27.0 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 54.5
Field Goal % 44.1% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 18.2
Free Throw % 75.1% 76.0%
Ball Control WIS NEB
Rebounds 35.2 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 6.0
Turnovers 8.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.4
Steals 6.0 4.5
Fouls 14.4 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS NEB
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 65.5
% of Possessions with WIS NEB
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 30.2%
Player Fouled 21.1% 20.6%
Turnover 12.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS NEB
Shot Blocked 4.5% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 19.8%