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Wisconsin at Oregon
Tue Mar 21, 2023
9:00pm ET
Eugene, OR
Wisconsin at Oregon: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Oregon by 1.5, Total Points: 131.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WIS | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-19-1 | 17-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-12-1 | 9-14-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| Away | 8-11-0 | 10-10-0 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Arkansas St | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Providence | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Rob Morris | -20.0 | W by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Virginia | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | W Illinois | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Marquette | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Michigan St | +5.5 | W by 13 | +18.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 25 | -15.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Jksnville St | -19.0 | W by 15 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | W by 27 | +2.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Nebraska | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Ohio St | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Northwestern | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Penn St | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Indiana | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Nebraska | (Pick) | L by 8 | -8.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Purdue | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Michigan | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rutgers | -3.5 | L by 22 | -25.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Ohio St | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Iowa | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Illinois | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Maryland | -4.0 | W by 31 | +27.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Northwestern | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Purdue | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Illinois | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | James Mad | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
Oregon Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Georgia | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Montana | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | TN State | -18.5 | W by 25 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Florida A&M | -22.0 | W by 13 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -13.0 | W by 22 | +9.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Cal Baptist | -12.0 | W by 21 | +9.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Syracuse | -4.0 | L by 20 | -24.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kent St | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | USC | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | UCLA | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wash State | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | California | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Colorado | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Utah | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 19 | +9.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Arizona | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | USC | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | UCLA | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Wash State | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Oregon St | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Stanford | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | California | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Oregon St | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Arizona | +13.5 | L by 20 | -6.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Colorado | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | UCLA | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Arizona | +11.5 | W by 8 | +19.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Colorado | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Creighton | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| ORE -1.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2748 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Oregon won the game 1554 times (56.6%).
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 1194 times (43.4%).
- The team like Oregon did better against the spread, going 1403-1300-45 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 588 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Oregon did better against the spread, going 302-281-5 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -2.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -5.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/21 09:04 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 08:53 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 03/21 08:46 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 08:33 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/21 08:04 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 08:03 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/21 07:25 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 07:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/21 06:59 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 05:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/21 05:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/21 05:25 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 05:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 05:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/21 03:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/21 03:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 03:22 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 02:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 02:25 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/21 12:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/21 12:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 11:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/21 11:14 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 10:59 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 10:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 09:44 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 08:31 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 08:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 07:35 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 07:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/21 12:25 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 04:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/20 12:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/20 11:52 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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