NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS ORE
Points 75.5 74.5
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 20.2
Points From Free Throws 15.1 13.2
Shooting WIS ORE
Field Goals Made 26.3 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 54.5
Field Goal % 46.5% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.1 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 18.2
Free Throw % 75.1% 72.9%
Ball Control WIS ORE
Rebounds 32.3 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 6.5
Turnovers 9.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.1
Steals 5.2 5.2
Fouls 15.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS ORE
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 65.6
% of Possessions with WIS ORE
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 24.8%
Player Fouled 23.6% 22.6%
Turnover 13.3% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS ORE
Shot Blocked 7.5% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 21.5%