NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS IOWA
Points 83.1 79.4
Total Points   162.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 44.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 18.9
Points From Free Throws 16.5 15.6
Shooting WIS IOWA
Field Goals Made 29.2 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 56.1
Field Goal % 48.9% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 16.5 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 20.2
Free Throw % 75.1% 77.4%
Ball Control WIS IOWA
Rebounds 34.1 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 6.0
Turnovers 8.8 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.1
Steals 5.8 4.6
Fouls 15.7 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS IOWA
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 68.3
% of Possessions with WIS IOWA
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 21.1%
Player Fouled 22.5% 22.0%
Turnover 12.3% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS IOWA
Shot Blocked 7.3% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 19.9%