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Wisconsin at Penn St
Wed Feb 8, 2023
8:30pm ET
University Park, PA
Wisconsin at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn St. by 4.5, Total Points: 126.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WIS | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-19-1 | 17-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-12-1 | 14-6-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-0-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-2-2 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 8-11-0 | 8-7-2 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Arkansas St | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Providence | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Rob Morris | -20.0 | W by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Virginia | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | W Illinois | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Marquette | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Michigan St | +5.5 | W by 13 | +18.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 25 | -15.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Jksnville St | -19.0 | W by 15 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | W by 27 | +2.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Nebraska | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Ohio St | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Northwestern | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Penn St | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Indiana | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Nebraska | (Pick) | L by 8 | -8.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Purdue | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Michigan | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rutgers | -3.5 | L by 22 | -25.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Ohio St | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Iowa | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Illinois | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Maryland | -4.0 | W by 31 | +27.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Northwestern | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Purdue | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Illinois | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | James Mad | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Delaware St | -19.5 | W by 34 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lehigh | -17.5 | W by 9 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -30.5 | W by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Morehead St | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Butler | (Pick) | L by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | VCU | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bucknell | -21.5 | L by 9 | -30.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ohio St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rider | -13.5 | W by 27 | +13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan St | +13.5 | L by 31 | -17.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Michigan | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wisconsin | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio St | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Rutgers | +7.5 | W by 15 | +22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana | +7.0 | W by 14 | +21.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Iowa | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Nebraska | +8.0 | L by 19 | -11.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Illinois | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Iowa | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Michigan | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Indiana | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| PSU -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3529 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn St. won the game 2320 times (65.7%).
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 1209 times (34.3%).
- The team like Penn St. did better against the spread, going 1760-1716-53 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5053 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Penn St. did better against the spread, going 2515-2432-106 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/08 08:28 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 07:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/08 07:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/08 06:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/08 06:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 06:14 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 06:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/08 04:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/08 03:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/08 03:47 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 02:56 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 02:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 01:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 12:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 12:17 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 11:43 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 10:53 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 10:05 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 09:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/08 08:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:07 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 09:58 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 09:13 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/07 03:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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