NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS USC
Points 82.0 75.0
Total Points   157.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.4 23.7
Points From Free Throws 18.0 13.7
Shooting WIS USC
Field Goals Made 27.1 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 58.8
Field Goal % 47.5% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 28.5 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 60.6% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 18.0 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 18.3
Free Throw % 82.2% 75.0%
Ball Control WIS USC
Rebounds 34.4 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.4
Turnovers 9.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.7
Steals 5.0 4.3
Fouls 15.4 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS USC
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 69.8
% of Possessions with WIS USC
2 Point Attempt 35.5% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 25.9%
Player Fouled 24.7% 21.7%
Turnover 12.9% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS USC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 24.3%