NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS NW
Points 74.8 73.6
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 24.0
Points From Free Throws 16.1 13.0
Shooting WIS NW
Field Goals Made 25.8 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 53.6
Field Goal % 49.8% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 42.7%
Free Throws Made 16.1 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 17.1
Free Throw % 75.1% 75.6%
Ball Control WIS NW
Rebounds 31.3 27.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 5.5
Turnovers 9.5 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.5
Steals 4.9 5.2
Fouls 15.5 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Northwestern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS NW
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 63.8
% of Possessions with WIS NW
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 25.7%
Player Fouled 25.6% 23.2%
Turnover 14.2% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS NW
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 18.6%